Obama’s Goal Of One Million Plug-Ins By 2015 Unrealistic, Say Analysts

July 20, 2012 12:00 AM

Obama’s Goal Of One Million Plug-Ins By 2015 Unrealistic, Say Analysts

" Political opponents of President Barack Obama used to sneer, “So how’s that hopey-changey stuff workin’ for ya, huh?”

" You don’t hear that so much any more, but 18 months after the first plug-in cars went on sale in the U.S., it’s worth looking at a different question: Will the Obama Administration’s electric-vehicle incentives, along with notably tougher fuel-efficiency requirements for 2017-2025 vehicles, let him fulfill his campaign pledge to put one million plug-in vehicles on U.S. roads by 2015?

Last year, about 17,500 plug-in vehicles were sold in the U.S. This year, the total is likely to be double that or slightly more. But that still leaves us roughly 940,000 vehicles in the hole, with just three years (2013 through 2015) to get them on the road.

A recent post from analyst Pike Research suggests that Obama’s total of 1 million will be reached–but probably not until 2018. Pike is hardly the first analyst to suggest that Obama’s total was a stretch goal. As early as last spring, some had already deemed it unachievable.

By the end of 2015, Pike calculates, five year’s worth of sales will have put roughly 410,000 plug-ins on U.S "

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